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Preempt Decision Part Three!

Poll: Bid? (23 member(s) have cast votes)

Bid?

  1. x (14 votes [60.87%])

    Percentage of vote: 60.87%

  2. 5H (5 votes [21.74%])

    Percentage of vote: 21.74%

  3. 6H (4 votes [17.39%])

    Percentage of vote: 17.39%

  4. Something Else (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-March-29, 01:27

You are playing against two good players (actually pclayton on your right) in a very non-serious evening swiss.

IMPs, Fourth Seat, Red vs White

A AQJTxx Axx xxx

(P)-1-(5)-?

I thought this decision was auto, but there was some discussion about it.
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#2 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-March-29, 01:30

rogerclee, on Mar 29 2008, 02:27 AM, said:

You are playing against two good players (actually pclayton on your right)

lol.

Anyways I double them.
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#3 User is offline   ceeb 

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Posted 2008-March-29, 13:45

Double

About 40 years ago when I was young enough to have promise I had the pleasure to play a Los Angeles Bridge Week pair event with John Swanson. With a problem somewhat like this one I reckoned we were safe at the five level and I bid. We made the contract but John, whose mood at the table normally ranged from facetious to wryly humorous for once didn't hide his frustration and mentioned a rather obvious principle that I have not forgotten. "Look at how many tricks you have on defense."
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#4 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-March-29, 20:48

rogerclee, on Mar 29 2008, 02:27 AM, said:

You are playing against two good players (actually pclayton on your right) in a very non-serious evening swiss.

IMPs, Fourth Seat, Red vs White: A AQJTxx Axx xxx

(P)-1-(5)-?

I thought this decision was auto, but there was some discussion about it.

IMO 5 = 10, 6 = 9. _X = 8
I agree with JLall and ceeb that that even pclayton is unlikely to make 5 :) but I feel like gambling that we can make 5 or 6 and, on a good day, we may get a shot at 6 or 7 :angry:
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 02:27

My instinct is to bid 5, so I do that.
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#6 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 10:07

vI even gave you 5 minutes to think about it as I went down the hall.

5H for me. The temptation of 1430 is just too alluring (and likely). Put it this way. If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

Justin has seen my green preempts too many times and he's expecting 1100.
"Phil" on BBO
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#7 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 10:32

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 11:07 AM, said:

If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

Yes, on a hand with less defense, e.g. Kx KQJ10xxx x Axx I would.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#8 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 10:57

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 10:07 AM, said:

vI even gave you 5 minutes to think about it as I went down the hall.

5H for me. The temptation of 1430 is just too alluring (and likely). Put it this way. If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

Justin has seen my green preempts too many times and he's expecting 1100.

Partner will hardly ever raise 5 to 6. In fact, when he does, you should probably bid 7.
The easiest way to count losers is to line up the people who talk about loser count, and count them. -Kieran Dyke
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#9 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-March-30, 11:38

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 11:07 AM, said:

Justin has seen my green preempts too many times and he's expecting 1100.

not really, I'm just expecting +???? which is better than going minus.
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#10 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 11:41

I'd rather bid 6 than five. I don't expect them to sacrifice - good players won't save for 1100 or so against a slam that they know was bid without space or science - but the upside of bidding slam is so much more, and it may be cold, eg KQxxx 9x x AKxxx.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#11 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-March-30, 11:56

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 11:07 AM, said:

If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

This is why I'll never understand losers. To me it looks like I have 3 clubs, 2 diamonds, and like half a heart loser...
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#12 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 14:22

cherdano, on Mar 30 2008, 11:57 AM, said:

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 10:07 AM, said:

vI even gave you 5 minutes to think about it as I went down the hall.

5H for me. The temptation of 1430 is just too alluring (and likely). Put it this way. If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

Justin has seen my green preempts too many times and he's expecting 1100.

Partner will hardly ever raise 5 to 6. In fact, when he does, you should probably bid 7.

I agree that I would rather bid 6 than 5 if I were going to bid, but I double.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#13 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 22:27

Double. It doesn't have to end the auction, but if it does, grab my plus and go home.
Chris Gibson
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#14 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-March-30, 22:38

double...I hope I may beat it...

Ira C.... just spent ten minutes explaining to me to take a profit against preempts......I hope this is what he meant but..any error is mine.
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#15 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-March-31, 10:08

Jlall, on Mar 30 2008, 09:56 AM, said:

pclayton, on Mar 30 2008, 11:07 AM, said:

If you don't bid 5H here with this 4 loser hand, when will you ever do it?

This is why I'll never understand losers. To me it looks like I have 3 clubs, 2 diamonds, and like half a heart loser...

I don't think it's unreasonable to put RHO on 8 here. Pard is stiff or LHO doesn't have one to lead.

The 's and the K look like losers to me. The diamonds don't. I could be wrong.

Hell I was even wrong three times last week.
"Phil" on BBO
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#16 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-March-31, 10:12

But Phil, you have 4 top tricks on defense!
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#17 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-March-31, 10:13

Double, taking the sure plus. There's no guarantee partner's hand fits well with ours. Bidding hearts seems like a reasonable (read: decent shot to work) swingy action.
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